Thursday, January 19, 2012

Earth quakes , extreme hurricane weather all related to 2012?

Okay so i just say on the home page on yahoo.com that we are spouse to get a lot of hurricanes this Sassoon and stuff and on top of all that low pressures in callie and all them other warm places that usually do not get cold weather plus we been getting lots of lots of earth quakes like one almost every moth or week i hope our state dose not get an Extreme hurricane b/c i never been in one but hopefully we will be moving back to where we do not have any i will past on what it says on the yahoo homepage.

**************************************鈥?br>
(Reuters) - The 2010 Atlantic hurricane season will produce an above-average eight hurricanes, four of them major, posing a heightened threat to the U.S. coastline, the Colorado State University hurricane forecasting team predicted on Wednesday.





In its second forecast in four months for the 2010 season, the leading storm research team founded by hurricane forecast pioneer William Gray said the six-month season beginning on June 1 would likely see 15 named tropical storms.



The team forecast a 69 percent chance of at least one major hurricane making landfall on the U.S. coastline in 2010, compared with a long-term average probability of 52 percent.



Major hurricanes pack powerful sustained winds of at least 111 miles per hour (178 km per hour).



For the Gulf Coast, from the Florida Panhandle west to Brownsville, Texas, including the Gulf of Mexico oil patch, the probability of a major hurricane making landfall was seen at 44 percent versus a long-term average of 30 percent, the Colorado State University team said.



"While patterns may change before the start of the hurricane season, we believe current conditions warrant concern for an above-average season," Gray said in a statement.



An average Atlantic season has about 10 tropical storms, of which six become hurricanes.



The Colorado State University team also predicted a 58 percent chance of a major hurricane tracking into the Caribbean, where Haiti is vulnerable after a devastating January 12 earthquake that left more than a million people homeless.



'EXTREME' SEASON FEARED



The earlier forecast in December by Gray's team had already predicted an "above-average" season producing 11 to 16 tropical storms, including six to eight hurricanes. It had said three to five of next year's storms would become "major" hurricanes of Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson intensity scale.



Another forecaster, AccuWeather.com, last month also forecast a potentially "extreme" hurricane season this year, with "above-normal threats" to the U.S. coastline.



AccuWeather said five hurricanes, two or three of them major, were expected to strike the U.S. coast, forming out of an expected 16 to 18 tropical storms, almost all of them in the western Atlantic or Gulf of Mexico.



The 2009 season ended November 30 had only nine storms, including three hurricanes, and was the quietest since 1997 due in part to El Nino, the eastern Pacific warm water phenomenon that tends to suppress Atlantic hurricanes.



But Phil Klotzbach, lead forecaster with the Colorado State team -- whose research is followed closely by energy and commodity markets -- said El Nino was expected to dissipate fully by the start of this year's storm season.



"The dissipating El Nino, along with the expected anomalously warm Atlantic ocean sea surface temperatures, will lead to favorable dynamic and thermodynamic conditions for hurricane formation and intensification," said Klotzbach.



The Colorado State University team has repeatedly cautioned that extended-range forecasts for hurricane activity are imprecise and can often miss the mark.



The university team originally expected the 2009 season to produce 14 tropical cyclones, of which seven would become hurricanes. But the season, which ended on November 30 and was the quietest since 1997, had only nine storms, including three hurricanes.





what do u think do u think this just some mumbo-jumboo ? b/c some one commented that it was going to be bad this year but it was not.



No rude commentsEarth quakes , extreme hurricane weather all related to 2012?
Kimberley, in 1967 a department store burned down in Brussels, Belgium,killing perhaps about people. I remember, I lived there. One week later, there was a new fire somewhere else. Then another one, and another one next week. After one month, someone published this in a newspaper. "Stop! the last fire was only a tiny fire in a shed behind a building! We have had a big fire and now we have a fire psychoses!"



Good news is no news. Bad news sells because we like to scare ourselves. There is nothing wrong with the weather, the climate, the geology ... apart from a slight increase of the global temperature, it is business as usual. 2012 is a stupid story invented by stupid people who don't care to scare others with their tales. As this very moment, perhaps kids consider dropping school since there is no future. It is VERY SAD! I am 62 years old and I remember when I was a teenager, I was scared of an atomic war. One of my teachers even told us that the third world war was imminent and that we had no future. Yet I am still here.Earth quakes , extreme hurricane weather all related to 2012?
It means the weather forecasters don't really know what will happen. They are just guessing.Earth quakes , extreme hurricane weather all related to 2012?
This past year, we were under an El Nino condition, where the oscillation of warm water in the Pacific ocean was on the east side (by North America) instead of the west side (by Asia). This caused the jet stream to dip down lower than usual, which had the effect of bringing more cooling air from the north down into the southern US, as well as creating an off shore flow. The result of this was to cause relatively cool conditions that prevented tropical storms from strengthening into hurricanes, shear winds that literally blew the tops off of any hurricane that was forming, and the off shore flow deflected any storms that did form away from the US mainland.



This year, the oscillation is heading back to the western Pacific. So, we have a condition called La Nina, which is the opposite of El Nino. This results in conditions more conducive to allowing hurricanes to form and strike the US mainland. So, climatologists and meteorologists are predicting that there will be more hurricanes than the average, compared to last year when they predicted less hurricanes than average. It has nothing to do with 2012, which is just a story that someone made up and made into a movie to scare people and sell movie tickets. It's like the movies Avatar and Alice in Wonderland. They're not real. And, neither is 2012.

No comments:

Post a Comment